2006/7 Geo

Monday, September 18, 2006

The Global Debt Problem

Poor countries owe a vast amount of money to rich nations and international financial institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

For developing countries as a whole this debt is over $2 trillion. Most of this is owed by "middle-income" developing countries. But some of the lowest-income countries in the world also are heavily indebted, owing around $250 billion.

Ordinary people did not benefit from many of the loans that gave rise to this debt. Yet they bear the principal burden of repayment. Without major debt reduction, poor countries are trapped, making unending interest payments on their debts. This requires them continuously to divert large amounts of scarce resources from health care, education and food security. The debt burden inhibits the social and economic development that is needed to lift people out of poverty.

The Origin of the Debt

The 1973 OPEC oil price hike earned the OPEC (major oil-producing) countries more money than they could absorb, so they deposited it in commercial banks in Europe, the United States and Japan. These banks had to earn enough interest to attract the OPEC depositors; so they lent to developing countries who had to pay high oil bills, and who wanted to maintain their rates of economic growth. Governments borrowed because interest rates were relatively low and the banks put few conditions on their loans. Banks thought countries were secure risks since the economies were growing, and their belief was firm that countries could not go bankrupt.

The 1973 oil price hike triggered inflation in the United States and other northern countries. When the second oil price hike of 1979 occurred, the U.S. Federal Reserve Board raised interest rates very high to halt inflation. International interest rates skyrocketed as well. In reducing inflation, the northern economies went into severe recession. As a result they purchased fewer products from southern producers. The southern economies became desperate: how could they pay higher interest rates when they could not earn more by selling their products to the northern markets?

The problem was compounded especially in Africa because, during the Cold War, donor governments were more interested in gaining allies than in whether the governments served the people or the money went to productive purposes. Newly independent African nations were led by inexperienced governments. Many projects financed by donors were poorly designed and unproductive: roads that went nowhere, factories that never produced, and power plants that were left uncompleted. This misspending left nothing behind except debt with no productive capacity to pay for the projects. In addition, some leaders wasted money on military expenditures and personal corruption.

Because of inadequate resources to reduce poor country debt, governments built up huge arrears. They paid a portion of their debt obligations, especially to the IMF and the multilateral institutions; what was not paid was added to the still unpaid principal of the debt. The size of the debt ballooned.

As Oxfam International states in its April 1997 report, Poor Country Debt Relief, "Debt repayments have meant health centers without drugs and trained staff, schools without basic teaching equipment, and the collapse of agricultural extension services. . . poor communities [are] forced to fill the financing gap left by withdrawal of public investment. . . [For] many millions of families in poor villages and urban slums, the daily consequence is that they are unable to maintain health and nutritional standards, and unable to keep their children in school." Malnutrition and child mortality rates are increasing in some countries. In others an entire generation of children is losing the opportunity to get an education or learn a trade.

The obligation to meet debt service payments also means that aid from other countries like the United States is often used to refinance debt payments rather than for improving health care, education and other social services. In addition, the total debt burden discourages foreign investment, which many believe is necessary to stimulate growth.

The need of highly indebted countries to earn "hard" currency like U.S. dollars to make debt service payments is one reason why some countries have been shifting resources from the production of basic foods for domestic consumption to cash crops for export. This has sometimes helped a country generate more income, with the hope the benefits will "trickle down" to everyone. Indeed, some farmers are able to start growing the new crops and take advantage of the export economy. Their incomes have increased. Many small peasant farmers, however, lose their farms. They are unable to get technical help and credit to make the transition to production for export. They cannot afford seeds and fertilizer or compete against cheap food imports. Larger farms buy or force them out.

Impact of Debt upon the Environment

Inadequate domestic production and the dependence on food imports can also result in local food shortages and higher prices that increase food insecurity for many people living in poverty. In addition, when many countries try to export the same products, their prices fall. Producers and workers in poor countries earn less.

International debts have to be paid back in the creditors' currencies or so-called "hard currencies" like U.S. dollars. One easy -- though not lasting -- way to gain more foreign currency for debt repayments has been to mine the earth's resources for the hard cash they generate. As a result, countries have heavily overused soil to grow cash crops. Farmers are under pressure to produce more crops on small areas of land. They often apply heavy doses of expensive chemical fertilizers that degrade the soil. Vital natural resources are depleted. Fish stocks are damaged through overfishing. Forests often are cut down by national or multinational companies, displacing local people.

Mineral resources are exploited by mining companies that often dump toxic tailings in local water supplies, destroying nearby lands in the process.

Environmental management becomes a low priority, with the result that businesses can pollute the environment and not worry about being prosecuted.

Deforestation accelerates beyond the limits set by the state. Illegal dumping of pollutants into the air and rivers increases. And endangered or threatened species continue to be exploited.

The shrinking government budget has another more indirect impact on the environment. As fewer resources are directed toward poverty reduction, people living in poverty try to survive by cutting down trees to build makeshift homes and provide heat for their families. As they are forced off farmland by large landowners, they turn to marginal lands to subsist. This leads to deforestation, soil erosion, and soil infertility.

Debt Relief Programs

The prevailing philosophy adopted by economists of the creditor nations, international financial institutions and the IMF, has been that "free market" economic reforms, reduced government economic involvement and creditor nation regulation are the best medicine for indebted ailing economies.

Designed by the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs) are implemented by debtor countries in order to qualify for debt relief and new loans, as well as to attract foreign investment. The debt crisis of 1982 made SAPs practically synonymous with lending from institutions like the World Bank and IMF. Virtually any country that wants low-interest loans or debt rescheduling must implement a Structural Adjustment Program.

Such reforms seek firstly to stabilise the negative economic trends such as inflation, trade imbalances and budget deficits, and secondly to adjust the economy by altering the nature of production and increasing export earnings. However such programs generally lead to devaluation of the national currency; raising interest rates and decreasing the availability of credit; reducing government spending and increasing taxes (especially sales taxes) in order to balance the budget; lowering tariffs and dismantling trade and investment regulations; privatising public enterprises, which are sold to domestic and foreign investors; reducing real wages; and shifting agricultural and industrial production from food staples and basic goods for domestic use to commodities for export.

SAPs have sometimes succeeded in improving government balance sheets, by shrinking budget deficits, eliminating hyperinflation, and maintaining debt-payment schedules. However, the types of structural adjustment measures that the World Bank and IMF require too often fail to promote a sustainable economy. Instead they have frequently led to increased income inequality and poverty, social disruption, and environmental degradation.

At last, at the September 1996 Annual Meeting of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) Initiative was launched by creditor nations and the multilateral development banks. It was a groundbreaking agreement. The World Bank and IMF finally recognized debt as a serious problem for the poorest countries. HIPC represents the first effort to coordinate all creditors (governments, private banks, and international financial institutions, like the World Bank and the IMF). Consideration for the first time was placed upon the need to reduce (not just refinance) debt, reduce debtor burden to sustainable levels, and the need for poverty reduction.

Lack of political will on the part of creditors has led however to serious problems in HIPC's implementation. Its implementation has been more with a view to minimizing the costs to creditors than to maximizing the benefits for debtors.

The G7 June 1999 Debt Relief Initiative

Following the dramatic escalation of the third world debt problem in the 90's and the seeming ineffectiveness of relief programs, civil society launched a massive campaign called the Jubilee 2000, aiming for the cancellation of unpayable debts of the world's poorest countries by the end of the year 2000. Pressure was placed upon member nations of G7, the seven richest nations, to completely cancel poor nation debt, when they met in June 1999. Because they collectively control about half the assets of the IMF and World Bank, they play a key role in influencing the economic and debt policies of these two international financial institutions. Though an agreement emerged with some positive steps forward, the G7 failed to grasp this historic opportunity.

The G7 governments promised to cancel the debts of 33 impoverished nations. This compares with at least 50 countries in Africa, Latin America and Asia burdened by high levels of human need and environmental distress.

The G7 Initiative is problematic because it strengthens the role of the International Monetary Fund in poverty alleviation, an area in which the IMF has neither a positive track record nor significant expertise.

The G7 Initiative fails to break the linkage between debt relief and the imposition of austerity policies that perpetuate or deepen poverty or environmental degradation.

While the call to cancel all bilateral concessional debt is welcome, most donor countries have already done so. Canceling market rate loans is a modest but still inadequate improvement. The approximately $100 billion total of old and new offers of debt cancellation almost exactly matches the estimated $100 billion in HIPC country debt that is currently not being serviced (paid). In effect, the G7 are offering to cancel what poor countries are currently unable to pay. Except for a few countries, no new resources would be freed up to be redirected to reduce poverty or provide basic social services.

The Initiative proposes contingent debt reduction, where the creditors forgive a portion of the debt only as long as the debtor country meets certain macro-economic and poverty targets. This is a step backwards from the current HIPC which at least has the merit of canceling debt outright without further conditions once a country finishes jumping through its long series of hoops. This proposed "floating completion point" will maintain creditor control over debtors for a longer period of time (what the US Treasury refers to as "leverage" to ensure the country adheres to its "reform" policies).

The G7 also proposed lowering the debt-to-government-revenue ratio from 280% to 250% for countries that qualify. Countries could qualify if their exports are more than 30% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (previously 40%) and government revenue more than 15% of GDP (previously 20%). The G7 partially recognized that governments must rely primarily on their own revenues, not the country's export earnings, to service the debt. But the proposed new ratios are still based on political calculations, not the needs of the debtor countries and their citizens, and are still too high for many of the world's poorest countries. The amount of debt a government can afford to service should be calculated only after the basic needs of its people have been met. This is the principle adhered to in domestic bankruptcy procedures; it places the

survival of the debtor before the repayment demands of creditors. Despite statements affirming the need for sustainable development, the G7 continue to define the need for and amount of debt cancellation primarily in terms of "debt sustainability" as defined by creditors only, rather than on sustainable development criteria.

On the relationship between debt reduction and poverty eradication, the Initiative is at best ambiguous and possibly a step backwards. Every debt campaign has argued for debt cancellation for poorest countries as an essential first step toward poverty eradication. The G7 took this theme and gave it an unwelcome twist, instructing the IMF and World Bank to help poor country governments develop poverty-reduction plans. This looks like paternalism. Many groups question the more central role proposed for the IMF in designing poverty reduction plans, since it has a largely negative track record on ensuring sustainable development.

Jubilee South, in a 19 June 1999 Press Release, said in response, "Jubilee South rejects the Koln debt initiative as a cruel hoax...For moral reasons, the debt of the South is illegitimate. Furthermore, it has been paid over and over again. ... We demand total, unconditional cancellation of all the debt of the South." CAFOD-UK (Catholic Church overseas development agency for UK) said, "(the Initiative) just isn't enough to make a major impact. Although it appears a lot on paper, in reality it will leave many countries still pending more on debt servicing than on health and education of their children"

Future Safeguards

Most inter-governmental loans have in the past taken place in secret, often for dubious purposes; all future international loans need to become totally open and transparent, as a mandatory requirement. Creditors need to become accountable and responsible for bad lending decisions. There is need for an international bankruptcy law, whereby unpayable debt in the future is acknowledged and written off. IMF and the World Bank need to release all regulatory demands. Controls need to be established to regulate future international lending, both by governments and by international financial institutions. There needs to be introduced taxes upon short-term and speculative lending. Loans to the poorest nations need to be governed by a Southern government coalition working together with civil society, in a way that aims for transparency, exposure of corruption, long-term economic and environmental sustainability and poverty alleviation.

The goal of major creditor countries and the IMF, has in the past focused upon ensuring debt sustainability targets; this policy needs to be reversed to ensure sustainable development. The real answer is to find ways, through participatory processes, to ensure that the resources newly available from debt relief are used for poverty reduction and other socially useful expenditures. Sound economic and social policies are vital; but these policies must be crafted with broad public participation and must protect the most vulnerable. Debt cancellation should be implemented in ways that widely benefit ordinary people and not just economic elites, corrupt public officials and military establishments. Unconditional debt cancellation is an essential beginning, but it is just one of many measures necessary to reverse the global problem of poor nation debt.

(This chapter has been prepared and edited from research material available on the website for Jubilee 2000/USA. Anyone desiring more extensive information and news on unfolding developments is recommended to link into this most informative site. Website: http://www.j2000usa.org/j2000) -- David Keane, "The Global Debt Problem," being section 42 of a book he is writing, 17 October 1999.

The Global Debt Problem

Poor countries owe a vast amount of money to rich nations and international financial institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

For developing countries as a whole this debt is over $2 trillion. Most of this is owed by "middle-income" developing countries. But some of the lowest-income countries in the world also are heavily indebted, owing around $250 billion.

Ordinary people did not benefit from many of the loans that gave rise to this debt. Yet they bear the principal burden of repayment. Without major debt reduction, poor countries are trapped, making unending interest payments on their debts. This requires them continuously to divert large amounts of scarce resources from health care, education and food security. The debt burden inhibits the social and economic development that is needed to lift people out of poverty.

The Origin of the Debt

The 1973 OPEC oil price hike earned the OPEC (major oil-producing) countries more money than they could absorb, so they deposited it in commercial banks in Europe, the United States and Japan. These banks had to earn enough interest to attract the OPEC depositors; so they lent to developing countries who had to pay high oil bills, and who wanted to maintain their rates of economic growth. Governments borrowed because interest rates were relatively low and the banks put few conditions on their loans. Banks thought countries were secure risks since the economies were growing, and their belief was firm that countries could not go bankrupt.

The 1973 oil price hike triggered inflation in the United States and other northern countries. When the second oil price hike of 1979 occurred, the U.S. Federal Reserve Board raised interest rates very high to halt inflation. International interest rates skyrocketed as well. In reducing inflation, the northern economies went into severe recession. As a result they purchased fewer products from southern producers. The southern economies became desperate: how could they pay higher interest rates when they could not earn more by selling their products to the northern markets?

The problem was compounded especially in Africa because, during the Cold War, donor governments were more interested in gaining allies than in whether the governments served the people or the money went to productive purposes. Newly independent African nations were led by inexperienced governments. Many projects financed by donors were poorly designed and unproductive: roads that went nowhere, factories that never produced, and power plants that were left uncompleted. This misspending left nothing behind except debt with no productive capacity to pay for the projects. In addition, some leaders wasted money on military expenditures and personal corruption.

Because of inadequate resources to reduce poor country debt, governments built up huge arrears. They paid a portion of their debt obligations, especially to the IMF and the multilateral institutions; what was not paid was added to the still unpaid principal of the debt. The size of the debt ballooned.

As Oxfam International states in its April 1997 report, Poor Country Debt Relief, "Debt repayments have meant health centers without drugs and trained staff, schools without basic teaching equipment, and the collapse of agricultural extension services. . . poor communities [are] forced to fill the financing gap left by withdrawal of public investment. . . [For] many millions of families in poor villages and urban slums, the daily consequence is that they are unable to maintain health and nutritional standards, and unable to keep their children in school." Malnutrition and child mortality rates are increasing in some countries. In others an entire generation of children is losing the opportunity to get an education or learn a trade.

The obligation to meet debt service payments also means that aid from other countries like the United States is often used to refinance debt payments rather than for improving health care, education and other social services. In addition, the total debt burden discourages foreign investment, which many believe is necessary to stimulate growth.

The need of highly indebted countries to earn "hard" currency like U.S. dollars to make debt service payments is one reason why some countries have been shifting resources from the production of basic foods for domestic consumption to cash crops for export. This has sometimes helped a country generate more income, with the hope the benefits will "trickle down" to everyone. Indeed, some farmers are able to start growing the new crops and take advantage of the export economy. Their incomes have increased. Many small peasant farmers, however, lose their farms. They are unable to get technical help and credit to make the transition to production for export. They cannot afford seeds and fertilizer or compete against cheap food imports. Larger farms buy or force them out.

Impact of Debt upon the Environment

Inadequate domestic production and the dependence on food imports can also result in local food shortages and higher prices that increase food insecurity for many people living in poverty. In addition, when many countries try to export the same products, their prices fall. Producers and workers in poor countries earn less.

International debts have to be paid back in the creditors' currencies or so-called "hard currencies" like U.S. dollars. One easy -- though not lasting -- way to gain more foreign currency for debt repayments has been to mine the earth's resources for the hard cash they generate. As a result, countries have heavily overused soil to grow cash crops. Farmers are under pressure to produce more crops on small areas of land. They often apply heavy doses of expensive chemical fertilizers that degrade the soil. Vital natural resources are depleted. Fish stocks are damaged through overfishing. Forests often are cut down by national or multinational companies, displacing local people.

Mineral resources are exploited by mining companies that often dump toxic tailings in local water supplies, destroying nearby lands in the process.

Environmental management becomes a low priority, with the result that businesses can pollute the environment and not worry about being prosecuted.

Deforestation accelerates beyond the limits set by the state. Illegal dumping of pollutants into the air and rivers increases. And endangered or threatened species continue to be exploited.

The shrinking government budget has another more indirect impact on the environment. As fewer resources are directed toward poverty reduction, people living in poverty try to survive by cutting down trees to build makeshift homes and provide heat for their families. As they are forced off farmland by large landowners, they turn to marginal lands to subsist. This leads to deforestation, soil erosion, and soil infertility.

Debt Relief Programs

The prevailing philosophy adopted by economists of the creditor nations, international financial institutions and the IMF, has been that "free market" economic reforms, reduced government economic involvement and creditor nation regulation are the best medicine for indebted ailing economies.

Designed by the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs) are implemented by debtor countries in order to qualify for debt relief and new loans, as well as to attract foreign investment. The debt crisis of 1982 made SAPs practically synonymous with lending from institutions like the World Bank and IMF. Virtually any country that wants low-interest loans or debt rescheduling must implement a Structural Adjustment Program.

Such reforms seek firstly to stabilise the negative economic trends such as inflation, trade imbalances and budget deficits, and secondly to adjust the economy by altering the nature of production and increasing export earnings. However such programs generally lead to devaluation of the national currency; raising interest rates and decreasing the availability of credit; reducing government spending and increasing taxes (especially sales taxes) in order to balance the budget; lowering tariffs and dismantling trade and investment regulations; privatising public enterprises, which are sold to domestic and foreign investors; reducing real wages; and shifting agricultural and industrial production from food staples and basic goods for domestic use to commodities for export.

SAPs have sometimes succeeded in improving government balance sheets, by shrinking budget deficits, eliminating hyperinflation, and maintaining debt-payment schedules. However, the types of structural adjustment measures that the World Bank and IMF require too often fail to promote a sustainable economy. Instead they have frequently led to increased income inequality and poverty, social disruption, and environmental degradation.

At last, at the September 1996 Annual Meeting of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) Initiative was launched by creditor nations and the multilateral development banks. It was a groundbreaking agreement. The World Bank and IMF finally recognized debt as a serious problem for the poorest countries. HIPC represents the first effort to coordinate all creditors (governments, private banks, and international financial institutions, like the World Bank and the IMF). Consideration for the first time was placed upon the need to reduce (not just refinance) debt, reduce debtor burden to sustainable levels, and the need for poverty reduction.

Lack of political will on the part of creditors has led however to serious problems in HIPC's implementation. Its implementation has been more with a view to minimizing the costs to creditors than to maximizing the benefits for debtors.

The G7 June 1999 Debt Relief Initiative

Following the dramatic escalation of the third world debt problem in the 90's and the seeming ineffectiveness of relief programs, civil society launched a massive campaign called the Jubilee 2000, aiming for the cancellation of unpayable debts of the world's poorest countries by the end of the year 2000. Pressure was placed upon member nations of G7, the seven richest nations, to completely cancel poor nation debt, when they met in June 1999. Because they collectively control about half the assets of the IMF and World Bank, they play a key role in influencing the economic and debt policies of these two international financial institutions. Though an agreement emerged with some positive steps forward, the G7 failed to grasp this historic opportunity.

The G7 governments promised to cancel the debts of 33 impoverished nations. This compares with at least 50 countries in Africa, Latin America and Asia burdened by high levels of human need and environmental distress.

The G7 Initiative is problematic because it strengthens the role of the International Monetary Fund in poverty alleviation, an area in which the IMF has neither a positive track record nor significant expertise.

The G7 Initiative fails to break the linkage between debt relief and the imposition of austerity policies that perpetuate or deepen poverty or environmental degradation.

While the call to cancel all bilateral concessional debt is welcome, most donor countries have already done so. Canceling market rate loans is a modest but still inadequate improvement. The approximately $100 billion total of old and new offers of debt cancellation almost exactly matches the estimated $100 billion in HIPC country debt that is currently not being serviced (paid). In effect, the G7 are offering to cancel what poor countries are currently unable to pay. Except for a few countries, no new resources would be freed up to be redirected to reduce poverty or provide basic social services.

The Initiative proposes contingent debt reduction, where the creditors forgive a portion of the debt only as long as the debtor country meets certain macro-economic and poverty targets. This is a step backwards from the current HIPC which at least has the merit of canceling debt outright without further conditions once a country finishes jumping through its long series of hoops. This proposed "floating completion point" will maintain creditor control over debtors for a longer period of time (what the US Treasury refers to as "leverage" to ensure the country adheres to its "reform" policies).

The G7 also proposed lowering the debt-to-government-revenue ratio from 280% to 250% for countries that qualify. Countries could qualify if their exports are more than 30% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (previously 40%) and government revenue more than 15% of GDP (previously 20%). The G7 partially recognized that governments must rely primarily on their own revenues, not the country's export earnings, to service the debt. But the proposed new ratios are still based on political calculations, not the needs of the debtor countries and their citizens, and are still too high for many of the world's poorest countries. The amount of debt a government can afford to service should be calculated only after the basic needs of its people have been met. This is the principle adhered to in domestic bankruptcy procedures; it places the

survival of the debtor before the repayment demands of creditors. Despite statements affirming the need for sustainable development, the G7 continue to define the need for and amount of debt cancellation primarily in terms of "debt sustainability" as defined by creditors only, rather than on sustainable development criteria.

On the relationship between debt reduction and poverty eradication, the Initiative is at best ambiguous and possibly a step backwards. Every debt campaign has argued for debt cancellation for poorest countries as an essential first step toward poverty eradication. The G7 took this theme and gave it an unwelcome twist, instructing the IMF and World Bank to help poor country governments develop poverty-reduction plans. This looks like paternalism. Many groups question the more central role proposed for the IMF in designing poverty reduction plans, since it has a largely negative track record on ensuring sustainable development.

Jubilee South, in a 19 June 1999 Press Release, said in response, "Jubilee South rejects the Koln debt initiative as a cruel hoax...For moral reasons, the debt of the South is illegitimate. Furthermore, it has been paid over and over again. ... We demand total, unconditional cancellation of all the debt of the South." CAFOD-UK (Catholic Church overseas development agency for UK) said, "(the Initiative) just isn't enough to make a major impact. Although it appears a lot on paper, in reality it will leave many countries still pending more on debt servicing than on health and education of their children"

Future Safeguards

Most inter-governmental loans have in the past taken place in secret, often for dubious purposes; all future international loans need to become totally open and transparent, as a mandatory requirement. Creditors need to become accountable and responsible for bad lending decisions. There is need for an international bankruptcy law, whereby unpayable debt in the future is acknowledged and written off. IMF and the World Bank need to release all regulatory demands. Controls need to be established to regulate future international lending, both by governments and by international financial institutions. There needs to be introduced taxes upon short-term and speculative lending. Loans to the poorest nations need to be governed by a Southern government coalition working together with civil society, in a way that aims for transparency, exposure of corruption, long-term economic and environmental sustainability and poverty alleviation.

The goal of major creditor countries and the IMF, has in the past focused upon ensuring debt sustainability targets; this policy needs to be reversed to ensure sustainable development. The real answer is to find ways, through participatory processes, to ensure that the resources newly available from debt relief are used for poverty reduction and other socially useful expenditures. Sound economic and social policies are vital; but these policies must be crafted with broad public participation and must protect the most vulnerable. Debt cancellation should be implemented in ways that widely benefit ordinary people and not just economic elites, corrupt public officials and military establishments. Unconditional debt cancellation is an essential beginning, but it is just one of many measures necessary to reverse the global problem of poor nation debt.

(This chapter has been prepared and edited from research material available on the website for Jubilee 2000/USA. Anyone desiring more extensive information and news on unfolding developments is recommended to link into this most informative site. Website: http://www.j2000usa.org/j2000) -- David Keane, "The Global Debt Problem," being section 42 of a book he is writing, 17 October 1999.

Development goals


Useful websites :

Global Learning Outreach http://www.glo.org/article977.html

The World Bank has produced a very user friendly online report on development goals at the beginning of the millenium. Included are numerous graphs laying out scenarios such as: The Millennium Development Goals call for reducing the proportion of people living on less than $1 a day to half the 1990 level by 2015-from 29 percent of all people in low and middle income economies to 14.5 percent. If achieved, this would reduce the number of people living in extreme poverty to 890 million or to 750 million if growth stays on track. And while poverty would not be eradicated, that would bring us much closer to the day when we can say that all the world's people have at least the bare minimum to eat and clothe themselves.

Read the report at: http://worldbank.org.


UNDP http://www.undp.org/mdg/ The global challenge: Goals and targets

The Millennium Development Goals are an ambitious agenda for reducing poverty and improving lives that world leaders agreed on at the Millennium Summit in September 2000. For each goal one or more targets have been set, most for 2015, using 1990 as a benchmark:

1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger

Target for 2015: Halve the proportion of people living on less than a dollar a day and those who suffer from hunger.

More than a billion people still live on less than US$1 a day: sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and parts of Europe and Central Asia are falling short of the poverty target.

2. Achieve universal primary education

Target for 2015: Ensure that all boys and girls complete primary school.

As many as 113 million children do not attend school, but the target is within reach. India, for example, should have 95 percent of its children in school by 2005.

3. Promote gender equality and empower women

Targets for 2005 and 2015: Eliminate gender disparities in primary and secondary education preferably by 2005, and at all levels by 2015.

Two-thirds of illiterates are women, and the rate of employment among women is two-thirds that of men. The proportion of seats in parliaments held by women is increasing, reaching about one third in Argentina, Mozambique and South Africa.

4. Reduce child mortality

Target for 2015: Reduce by two thirds the mortality rate among children under five

Every year nearly 11 million young children die before their fifth birthday, mainly from preventable illnesses, but that number is down from 15 million in 1980.

5. Improve maternal health

Target for 2015: Reduce by three-quarters the ratio of women dying in childbirth.

In the developing world, the risk of dying in childbirth is one in 48, but virtually all countries now have safe motherhood programmes.

6. Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases

Target for 2015: Halt and begin to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS and the incidence of malaria and other major diseases.

Forty million people are living with HIV, including five million newly infected in 2001. Countries like Brazil, Senegal, Thailand and Uganda have shown that the spread of HIV can be stemmed.

7. Ensure environmental sustainability

Targets:

Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programmes and reverse the loss of environmental resources.

By 2015, reduce by half the proportion of people without access to safe drinking water.

By 2020 achieve significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers.

More than one billion people lack access to safe drinking water and more than two billion lack sanitation. During the 1990s, however, nearly one billion people gained access to safe water and the same number to sanitation.

8. Develop a global partnership for development

Targets:

Develop further an open trading and financial system that includes a commitment to good governance, development and poverty reduction – nationally and internationally

Address the least developed countries’ special needs, and the special needs of landlocked and small island developing States

Deal comprehensively with developing countries’ debt problems

Develop decent and productive work for youth

In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries

In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies – especially information and communications technologies.

Many developing countries spend more on debt service than on social services. New aid commitments made in the first half of 2002 could mean an additional $12 billion per year by 2006.



The Commission on Sustainable Development http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/csd/csd.htm


In 1992, more than 100 heads of state met in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil for the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED). The Earth Summit, as UNCED was also known, was convened to address urgent problems of environmental protection and socio-economic development. The assembled leaders signed the Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Convention on Biological Diversity; endorsed the Rio Declaration and the Forest Principles; and adopted Agenda 21, a 300-page plan for achieving sustainable development in the 21st century. The United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD) was created in December 1992 to ensure effective follow-up of UNCED; to monitor and report on implementation of the Earth Summit agreements at the local, national, regional and international levels. The CSD is a functional commission of the UN Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC), with 53 members. A five-year review of Earth Summit progress took place in 1997 by the United Nations General Assembly meeting in special session, followed in 2002 by a ten-year review by the World Summit on Sustainable Development.

Earth Summit + 5: The Special Session of the General Assembly held in June 1997 adopted a comprehensive document entitled Programme for the Further Implementation of Agenda 21 prepared by the Commission on Sustainable Development. It also adopted the programme of work of the Commission for 1998-2002.

The 10th session of the CSD in 2001 acted as the Preparatory Committee (PrepCom) for the 10-year review process of Agenda 21. A total of four PrepComs, including a last one at a Ministerial level, held in Bali, Indonesia, paved the way to the World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) held in Johannesburg, South Africa, 26 August-4 September 2002. Over 22,000 people attended the Summit, including 100 heads of State and Government. Around 10,000 delegates, 8,000 representatives of Major Groups and 4,000 media were accredited to the Summit in Johannesburg.

The Summit reiterated the initial mandate and functions of the CSD as a high level forum on sustainable development, and deliberated to enhance its role so that it can respond to the new demands emerged from the WSSD Plan of Implementation.

At the 11th Session of the CSD (CSD-11, held in New York from 28 April-9 May 2003), decisions were made on the Commission's future programme and organization of work. It was agreed that the CSD's multi-year programme of work beyond 2003 would be organized on the basis of seven two-year cycles, with each cycle focusing on selected thematic clusters of issues.












Terminology

1950: 1st/2nd/3rd World (Capitalist/Communist/Non-aligned)

1960-1970: Developed/Less-developed

1980: North/south Division

1990:

MEDC More Economically Developed Countries

LEDC Less Economically Developed Countries

NIC Newly Industrialised Countries

Oil Rich Countries


Defining Development


What do you understand by the term ‘development’?


  1. Up to the 1970s development was taken to mean ‘economic development’. (Why? Explain with reference to Nurske). Therefore the focus was on industrialisation as illustrated by Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth, published in 1960 (it as titled; a non-communist manifesto).

  2. In 1980, this process of development was critised as it was seen to have increased the global division into a North/South divide with a concentration of wealth in the core, leading to a growth in the level of inequalities and dependency. (Why? Myrdal’s model is a starting point).

  3. The concept of development changed and became focused upon the meeting of basic needs as represented by the Human Development Index. This has been expanded to include the protection of Human Rights.

  4. Due to the increased level of environment destruction the Brandtland Commission develop the concept of sustainable development in 1987, which was incorporated into Agenda 21 at the 1992 Rio Conference, as Meeting the needs of the present generation whilst leaving the same or an improved resource base as a bequest for the Future.








































































































Tuesday, September 05, 2006

Geography on a global Scale
The programme to be followed by the OIB is that of the Te L, ES (BO Feb 7-11 2004) which, according to the French ministry, is subdivided into three parts to facilitate a study of geographical regions and processes on different scales. The aim is to provide the students with an appreciation of socio-economic (geographical) divisions on a global scale and the processes by which they are linked. The three parts being:
A Globalised world The three major global areas of economic power The worlds in the path of development
Two text books “l`espace modial” (Jalta, Joly, Reineri, 2004, Magnard and Knafou, 2004 Belin) propose the following structure (including teaching time) and examples.
1. A Globalised world (10h): A. Globalisation and interdependence Questions: Globalisation, a new organisation of the world? Is globalisation responsible for economic decline? (case study Argentina) Can globalisation be the road for development (case study Ireland) How does migration reflect the globalisation process?
i) Definition/ History
ii) Manifestation: Global exchange Migration of people Movement of commodities Movement of capital Connections: Maritime/ aerial/ telecommunications Cultural Exchange
iii) Actors Nation States Global organisations: UN, IMF, World Bank, WTO Transnationals Trading Blocs Non-governmental Organisations
iv) Location Triad Global cities Privileged sites
Case studies: EU, major pole of global economy EU, major global agricultural power London, global city Rotterdam, the first European maritime port

B) Counter-globalisation Question: The world, between uniformisation and diversification Cultural Diversity/Alternatives Regional Trading Blocs Regional and global instability Counter-globalisation movement Environmental threats




2)The three major global areas of economic power (22hours)
a) The United States: A global superpower Questions: USA, the only superpower?
i) Characteristics Military Economic: Production of goods and services/ financial/ trans-nationals Soft Power: Culture Brain Drain Structural: Global/ regional organisations
Problems Economic weaknesses Dependence Inequalities
ii) Internal Organisation Question: Growth poles/ centres of innovation Communication structure Migration patterns Case studies : California Innovation as the origin of a new geography of industry
The Atlantic Seaboard Interface between USA and the world Case studies: N.E USA « Main Street America » Megalopolis: New York


b) East Asia: Region of economic expansion
Questions: To what extent does Shanghai represent the renewed Asia? To what extent has the Chinese dispora lead to the harmonisation of Asia?
Economic characteristics: GNP; HDI; Economic Growth; Trade Conditions and characteristics of development Role of Japanese model Asian Crisis
Case studies Coastal China: Workshop of the world Singapore: first of major Asian ‘hubs’. Japanese megalopolis: characteristics and problems
c) European Union
Questions: What is the global strategy of the European car industry? Is Slovakia a European Tiger?
Trade Migration Multipoles Core/periphery Role of the EU in the world
Case study: Rhinelands


3) The worlds in the path of development (18 hours)
a) Inequalities of Development Question One or more souths? Has globalisation lead to the marginalisation of Africa? Sao Paulo, is it typical of LEDC urban development? Is globalisation responsible for the development of inequalities? Do illegal activities benefit from globalisation?
i) North/South Divide History Indices Unity or diversity
ii) Development Strategies Development theories One or More Souths? Sustainable development Case study: One or more Brazils? Aids, the plague of the South

Case studies: Relationship between development and the environment Inequality of development and global agricultural trade b) Mediterranean: North/South Interface Q: Is the Mediterranean a barrier or an area of exchange? Jerusalem, is it typical of the cultural differences in the Mediterranean?
Divergence/ Convergence through Exchange Inequalities Exchange : Goods ; Capital ; Migration ; Tourism Political alliances/ common concerns Politics of development
Case study : Souse, a tourist area.
c) Russia: An area of re-composition
Q: Does the recent transformation of Moscow reflect developments in the whole country? Tchetchnia: Does the war illustrate the limits of democratic construction in Russia? Why is Russia no longer a superpower?
Economic redevelopment Demographic crisis/ social inequalities Political system Transport system Regional inequalities


Aim


To cover the programme.

Prepare you for the exam.

To develop your work, research, communication and reasoning skills.

To stimulate your awareness and understanding of the world around you.


Exam


a) Four hour written exam including:

2 geography questions (one essay, one document)

2 history questions (one essay, one document)

The candidate is to answer tow questions; one history the other geography.


b) 15 minute oral on one of 10 presented subjects (5 history and 5 geography)













Globalisation


“The idea of tolerance and mutual concession is based on admitting the compatibility of many different philosophical views of the world.” Hajime Nakamura (1964)


Time-space convergence is an integral part of our changing world. Consider:


In 1850 undersea communication cables were laid around the world.

In that year, an American built clipper ship , the Oriental, made a record journey from Hong Kong to London in 97 days.

In 1935, a freighter from Los Angeles took 19 days to reach Tokyo.

Today day there are more than 170 million internet hosts and an email can be sent across the globe in seconds.


A New Global Order is evolving lead by the spread of capitalism. The decline in communism has lead to experiments in the privatisation of ownership and entrepreneurial profit-making. Globalisation is the increasing linkage between countries and global, capitalist enterprises and economic systems. It has many dimensions:

a) Change in one aspect has a ripple effect throughout all the others.

b) The bulk of world business is conducted by multinational or transnational enterprises controlling financial, manufacturing and distribution systems.

c) Foreign aid is dispensed more by international organisations than by individual countries either by transnational organisations such as the IMF or by non-governmental organisations (Oxfam).


It is important to acknowledge that globalisation is only part of the picture. The counter movement is regionalism. Regional organisations are concerned with such things as defence, cultural, environmental and economic issues. Although globalism and regionalism appear contradictory they are integrated phenomena operating at varying scales and settings. Regional trading blocs such as the European Union or the North American Free Trade Association regulate economic interchange in the interests of reducing foreign competition.

Geographer Harm de Blij (1997) recognises that geographical realms have three sets of spatial criteria:

  1. Physical and cultural characteristics are the largest units into which the can be divided the ecumene (the inhabited world).

  2. They are found on the similarity of functional interactions between people and their natural environment.

  3. Focus on and incorporate the world's largest population centres.


When studying geography it is necessary to be aware of Space.

To study, observe, measure, quantify, recognise: what makes a place unique.

To be aware of scale and how interactions change with scale.

To acknowledged the historical setting of place.

To realise that process through time will lead to change.

To understand that culture defines space.

To appreciate that theoretical models have been created to highlight the consequence of process on space.


Hence:

It is necessary to know case studies.

To be aware of models such as: Myrdal, Friedman, Malthus, Demographic transition model.

To appreciate the role of organisations such as IMF, World Bank, Gatt, trading blocs, multinationals.

Question

Discuss with reference to examples the statement made by Philippe Legrain(2002) [in his book: Open World The truth about globalisation] that 'globalisation is the only route out of poverty'.


Consider these two quotes:


“Rather than the rising tide of the market lifting all boats, structural adjustment and liberalisation policies with no concomitant obligations on redistribution appear to have sunk some social groups, especially the poor and the vulnerable.” Noreena Hertz, The Silent Takeover


“ My concern is not that there are too many sweatshops but that there are too few.... those are precisely the jobs that were the stepping stones for Singapore and Hong Kong and those are the jobs that have to come to Africa to get them out of backbreaking rural poverty.” Jeffrey Sachs, professor at Harvard University.